Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Denver 0.5%   21 - 9 16 - 2 21 - 9 16 - 2 +9.3      +5.8 46 +3.5 85 54.0 346 +6.7 78 +12.1 2
86 Louisiana Tech 1.8%   25 - 6 16 - 2 25 - 6 16 - 2 +5.6      -1.0 200 +6.6 30 78.7 12 +8.0 63 +13.0 1
87 New Mexico St. 100.0%   13   23 - 10 14 - 4 23 - 10 14 - 4 +5.6      +1.9 129 +3.7 76 65.5 214 +6.5 81 +7.8 3
116 Utah St. 0.0%   20 - 10 11 - 7 20 - 10 11 - 7 +3.5      +5.3 55 -1.9 223 59.1 321 +4.5 104 +2.8 5
141 Texas Arlington 0.0%   19 - 13 11 - 7 19 - 13 11 - 7 +1.6      -2.4 238 +4.0 69 69.3 129 +2.7 127 +3.0 4
200 Idaho 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 11 11 - 18 7 - 11 -1.7      +5.3 56 -7.0 328 62.1 282 -2.5 206 -2.9 6
229 Seattle 0.0%   7 - 22 3 - 15 7 - 22 3 - 15 -3.9      -5.9 305 +1.9 116 75.8 33 -9.5 304 -10.2 10
246 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   10 - 22 3 - 14 10 - 22 3 - 14 -4.8      -0.8 187 -4.0 284 64.2 248 -5.7 252 -9.2 9
252 Texas St. 0.0%   11 - 22 5 - 13 11 - 22 5 - 13 -5.3      -0.9 196 -4.4 292 81.3 4 -5.3 246 -5.7 7
302 San Jose St. 0.0%   8 - 20 3 - 14 8 - 20 3 - 14 -9.1      -8.4 328 -0.7 188 70.8 102 -6.8 272 -8.1 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Denver 1.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 1.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 3.0 100.0
Utah St. 4.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 4.0 100.0
Idaho 6.0 100.0
Seattle 8.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 8.0 100.0
Texas St. 7.0 100.0
San Jose St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Denver 16 - 2 100.0
Louisiana Tech 16 - 2 100.0
New Mexico St. 14 - 4 100.0
Utah St. 11 - 7 100.0
Texas Arlington 11 - 7 100.0
Idaho 7 - 11 100.0
Seattle 3 - 15 100.0
Texas San Antonio 3 - 15 100.0
Texas St. 5 - 13 100.0
San Jose St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Denver 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana Tech 100.0% 100.0
New Mexico St.
Utah St.
Texas Arlington
Idaho
Seattle
Texas San Antonio
Texas St.
San Jose St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Denver 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3 0.2 99.6 0.5%
Louisiana Tech 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 0.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 98.2 1.8%
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.1 7.1 86.5 6.3 0.0
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Denver 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 19.1% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 97.7 2.3 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.2 0.8
2nd Round 19.3% 0.2 80.7 19.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 5.0% 0.1 95.0 5.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0